Polymarket, Trump Year Impeachment Probability Predicted At 10%…Betting Amount Approaching 500 Thousand Dollars

The impeachment probability of President Trump recording around 10% (Source: Polymarket)

On the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket, The possibility of U.S. President Donald Trump being impeached by 2025 is evaluated at 10%. Currently, about $495,000 (approximately 670 million won) worth of funds are bet in this market.

Amid rising political uncertainty, Polymarket is gaining attention as an indicator that reflects the outlook of investors and traders on various social and political events in real time. The betting related to Trump's impeachment seems to have been influenced by recent political tensions, controversies within the administration, and the President's own remarks.

The figure of 10% indicates a low likelihood but also proves that the U.S. political environment remains fluid and unpredictable. Traders are likely to carefully monitor various policy conflicts and external relationship tensions facing the Trump administration and adjust the future betting size and probability accordingly.